Tag: intention analysis

Wishful Thinking and Leprechauns

I recently came across a lovely cartoon on Leprechauns and social media.

Fortunately for us, we have a leprechaun in the office.

(So, now you know where we get our startup funding from).

Here’s a picture of the guy (that’s the cubicle he shares with Selasdia):

DSC00227

Just kidding!

One of our business partners brought the little pewter leprechaun in the picture back to India for us from Ireland.

It might have once been popularly believed in Ireland that leprechauns had the ability to grant Wishes.

And we find Wishes immensely interesting because some of the earliest work on Intention Analysis started out as an attempt to detect and classify Wishes.

In fact, one of the loveliest papers on the subject started out with an attempt to study what people wished for (wanted) on New Years Day.

You can read the paper here:  http://pages.cs.wisc.edu/~jerryzhu/pub/wish.pdf

It has a very beautiful title: “May All Your Wishes Come True:  A Study of Wishes and How to Recognize Them”

You also find the word Wishes in the title of one of the first attempts in research literature to find “buy” intentions:

http://www.aclweb.org/anthology-new/W/W10/W10-0207.pdf

It is a paper titled, again quite poetically (what’s with Wishes and beautiful titles!) “Wishful Thinking – Finding suggestions and ‘buy’ wishes from product reviews”.

This paper was written by a research team working at Cognizant (India) in 2010.

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Sentiment Analysis, Intention Analysis and the Direction of Fit

Direction of Fit

As you know, for some years now, all of us who form part of the NLP research team at Aiaioo Labs have been working on a technology for text analysis called ‘Intention Analysis‘.

It was something few had heard of when we started.

Today, a lot more people know the term.

But there has been not a great deal of research work published on Intention Analysis in the last 20 years.

So, we’re really happy to be one of the first research teams in ‘recent times’ to delve into the subject again.

We’re also really thrilled to be able to let you know that we’ve just been allowed to demonstrate our work on Intention Analysis at the COLING 2012 conference which will be held in Bombay (now officially known as Mumbai).

I hope I shall get to meet many of you in Bombay in a couple of weeks.

The theory that defines and shapes our work on Intention Analysis is known as ‘Speech Act Theory’.

One of the earlier philosophers to work on it was John Rogers Searle.

He augmented the theory with the concept of Intentional States.  (Incidentally, Intentional States are not even defined in the Wikipedia).

According to Searle, Intentional States could be either Beliefs or Desires.

He differentiated Beliefs from Desires by their direction of fit.

The direction of fit of an intentional state is said to be ‘mind-to-world’ if through the performance of the speech act, a mental state is established, revealed or altered.

The direction of fit of a speech act or intentional state is said to be ‘world-to-mind’ if the performance of the speech act alters the state of the world.

So, sentiment analysis is all about Beliefs.  The direction of fit is mind-to-world.  You see things in the world, and form opinions about them.

Intention analysis on the other hand is all about Desires.  The direction of fit is world-to-mind.  You try to fit the world to a model of how the world should be that resides in your mind.

If you would like to learn more, you can find our paper here:  www.aiaioo.com/publications/coling2012.pdf

Discovering intent for retargeting

Text-based Intention Analysis

At Aiaioo Labs, we have been developing text analytics tools for the discovery of intent for a number of years, as explained in the following articles:

  1. Intentions and Opinions
  2. Prior Work on Intentions

In recent months and years, we have seen other firms come up with similar technologies, studies and initiatives:

  1. SocialNuggets offers a study on the ROI of intent analysis
  2. Solariat has been trying to convince Facebook to use intention analysis for ad placement
  3. WisdomTap did a study on the power of intent analysis with us

These are all text-based studies, using the content of conversations on social media to discover intentions.

However, the most recent attempts at improving the targeting of ads have focused on methods for discovering intent without using any unstructured information.  Below, we look at two of the methods.

One of the methods is advertisement retargeting.

Retargeting

Retargeting involves showing ads to customers based on intent discovered from past visits to sales portals.  For instance, if you visited Amazon’s books section, you have demonstrated the intent to purchase books.  It’s clear as crystal, and there is no text analysis involved.

Now if Amazon tells Facebook that a particular user visited Amazon’s books section, Facebook can use the information to show suitable Amazon ads to that user, even after the user has left Amazon.  That is called retargeting.  It is in essence a kind of intention analysis, but without the use of text.

Here is an article about retargeting on Facebook:

It’s Become Tragically Clear That Facebook Chased The Wrong Business For Years

Another method is the use of special purpose social networks.

Special Purpose Social Networks

When most people go on LinkedIn, they have careers or business contacts on their minds.  So, LinkedIn might work well for job ads or B2B branding exercises.

This article on Forbes talks about this type of intent analysis:  Why Consumer Intent Drives The Value Of Social Networks

It’s very interesting to see wholly new ways to guess at social networking users’ intentions.

Text-Based

  • Advantages:  doesn’t need data from outside the website
  • Disadvantages:  might be perceived as an invasion of privacy, needs conversations, low volume, low accuracy

Retargeting

  • Advantages:  high volume, high accuracy, no privacy issues, needs no conversations
  • Disadvantages:  needs data from outside the website

Special purpose networks

  • Advantages:  high volume, no privacy issues, needs no conversations
  • Disadvantages:  low accuracy, the space of intentions that can be assumed is limited per network

How can you find out who wants to buy your products?

One way to understand a brand’s strengths is to see how often people say they want to buy that brand, on Twitter or other social media.

We have a demo of Twitter analysis for finding customers.

The following link takes you to a live demonstration of purchase intention detection being run on a Twitter stream:

http://www.aiaioo.com/demos/demo_use_case.html

What you will see on the page is tweets of people wanting to purchase something.

It is a fully automatic way of learning how many people want to buy your products, and who they are.

Purchase Intention Use Cases

WisdomTap (www.wisdomtap.com) is a firm that uses purchase intention in a very interesting manner.

They spot purchase intention in public posts and target advertisements at the speakers.

The team at WisdomTap obtained some startling results when they measured how those users responded to their ads.

The results can be found in this whitepaper: http://www.aiaioo.com/whitepapers/intention_analysis_use_cases.pdf

Understanding Customer Problems

We’ve written a little article that talks about practical applications of intention analysis. One of the biggest application areas we foresee is customer relationship management. A lot of what we’re writing about here needs to be verified and we’re still engaging CRM partners to validate many of the assumptions we’ve had to make. However, we feel there is no harm in discussing the general value proposition for customer issue management and analysis. So, here’s a link to a very wishy-washy concept paper:

http://www.aiaioo.com/whitepapers/understanding_customer_calls.pdf

The abstract:

There are many ways in which call center logs may be analysed, and the method
of analysis is mostly determined by the use-cases driving the analysis.
Call center analysis normally focuses on improving customer satisfaction and on
monitoring Quality of Service parameters, so most call-center data mining tasks
focus on customer satisfaction ratings, call pickup times, call throughput, and other
such structured parameters.

However, there are problems for which an analysis of structured data
might not suffice. One such problem might be identifying the main causes
that resulted in a call to a call center. The reason for this is that
the cause of a call is not a quantity that can be easily measured. The causes
of a customer call might however be possible to discover in the unstructured
data that is available in Customer Relationship Management (CRM) systems used in call
centers.

Phones can be Personal Assistants

Mobile phones are no longer just communication devices. They are also used as follows:
a) As consoles for entertainment
b) As personal task management and planning tools

Keeping the second use in mind, it would be in the cell phone manufacturers’ best interests to develop highly integrated task management tools for cell-phones.

Cell phones today lack seamless integration between the email and SMS applications and the task management applications.

When SMS messages or Email messages are received by the user about a task, there is little to no assistance in transferring the relevant data to a task management application.

What seems to be needed is a way to assist the user in capturing the information related to the task and moving it to a third-party task management application on the cell-phone.

But intention recognition algorithms can do just that!

If an SMS says “What is the name of the person we met the other day?” it should be possible to detect that this is an inquiry and that the recipient now has the task of sending a response.

Another example is the following SMS “Can you please send me the draft report by 2 pm”. This SMS contains a directive and the recipient now has a task to complete by a deadline.

Yet another example is the following “Would 4 pm work for you?” This is a meeting request.

These categories of tasks can be identified by looking at incoming and outgoing SMS messages and classifying them into various categories of tasks.

There is also an entity extraction task involved (identifying the deadlines and time ranges).

Once task intentions are identified, the phone could take the following steps:
a) The phone confirms with the user whether or not a task needs to be created.
b) The phone passes the task to the user’s preferred task management tool.

I just wanted to point you to an interesting dissenting view from a Google engineer. In the blog post “Will Google fight Apple’s Siri with Alfred?“, Alexei Oreskovic quotes Google’s head of mobile Andy Rubin as saying:

“I don’t believe that your phone should be your assistant. Your phone is a tool for communicating. You shouldn’t be communicating with the phone; you should be communicating with somebody on the other side of the phone.”

However, the same article also says the following:

“On Tuesday Google said it had acquired the tech company that has developed Alfred, a smartphone app that acts as a “personal assistant” to make recommendations based on your interests and your “context,” such as location, time of day, intent and social information.”